Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
38.64% ( -0.25) | 26.37% ( -0.05) | 34.99% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 52.88% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.16% ( 0.23) | 51.84% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.4% ( 0.19) | 73.6% ( -0.2) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( -0.03) | 26.21% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% ( -0.04) | 61.31% ( 0.04) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% ( 0.29) | 28.33% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.94% ( 0.36) | 64.06% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |