Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Arbroath |
45.55% ( 0.29) | 23.56% ( -0.07) | 30.88% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 61.14% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.5% ( 0.23) | 40.49% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.12% ( 0.23) | 62.87% ( -0.23) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% ( 0.21) | 18.07% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.01% ( 0.35) | 48.99% ( -0.35) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( -0.02) | 25.37% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.83% ( -0.03) | 60.16% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Arbroath |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
4 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
5 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |