Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.