Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.