Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.