Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.