Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.