Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
48.94% ( 1.12) | 22.61% ( -0.29) | 28.44% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 62.99% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.63% ( 0.85) | 37.37% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.41% ( 0.9) | 59.59% ( -0.9) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% ( 0.72) | 15.6% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.42% ( 1.32) | 44.58% ( -1.32) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( -0.11) | 25.36% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.84% ( -0.15) | 60.16% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.88% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |