Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.