Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
40.58% ( -0.23) | 24.99% ( -0.17) | 34.44% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 57.47% ( 0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.12% ( 0.85) | 45.88% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.81% ( 0.8) | 68.2% ( -0.79) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% ( 0.26) | 22.53% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% ( 0.38) | 56.1% ( -0.37) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.19% ( 0.64) | 25.82% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.23% ( 0.86) | 60.78% ( -0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.58% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |