Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Palmerston Park
QotS1 - 2Arbroath
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Queen of the South and Arbroath.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: QotS 0-1 Stirling
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Arbroath 2-3 Inverness
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
44.33% ( 0.02) | 24.78% ( -0) | 30.89% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
