Scottish Championship | Gameweek 25

Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK

Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
1 - 1
Dundee

Mackay (84')
Allardice (25')
Allardice (64'), McKay (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ashcroft (86')
Elliott (55')

The Match

Match Report

Inverness took the lead with six minutes remaining despite the two-man numerical disadvantage.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Dundee
34.52%	27.31%	38.17%

Both teams to score 49.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.31%

55.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.17%

76.84%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.48%

30.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.26%

66.75%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71%

28.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.99%

64.01%

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 34.51%

Dundee 38.17%

Draw 27.3%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Dundee
1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.51%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.17%