Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.