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Dundee logo
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Raith Rovers

Dundee
0 - 1
Raith Rovers


Adam (42'), Sow (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vaughan (21')
Mendy (40'), Tumilty (80'), Spencer (87'), MacDonald (90')

The Match

Match Report

Rovers scored the night's only goal in the first half through Lewis Vaughan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
DundeeDrawRaith Rovers
44.26%26.1%29.64%
Both teams to score 51.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74%52.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04%73.96%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5%23.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47%57.54%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88%32.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.39%68.61%
Score Analysis
    Dundee 44.26%
    Raith Rovers 29.64%
    Draw 26.1%
DundeeDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.57%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.87%
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.64%

Head to Head
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Raith Rovers
0-3
Dundee

Matthews (20'), Gullan (71'), Tumilty (78')
McGhee (22', 55'), Sow (84')
McGowan (8')
> Match Report
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 26
Dundee
2-1
Raith Rovers
Cummings (13' pen.), Fontaine (34')
Ashcroft (6')
Benedictus (88')
MacDonald (77'), Gullan (85')
Tait (90+2')
> Match Report
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Raith Rovers
3-1
Dundee
Benedictus (22'), Tumilty (54'), Kennedy (60')
Kennedy (62'), Spencer (71')
Sow (5')
Adam (68'), Fagan-Walcott (73')
> Match Report
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Dundee
1-1
Raith Rovers
Adam (41')
Musonda (86')
Hendry (37'), Armstrong (45')
> Match Report
Jul 13, 2019 3pm
Group Stage
Raith Rovers
0-3
Dundee

Hendry (18'), Mendy (37'), Davidson (59'), Spencer (89'), Matthews (89')
Nelson (14', 29'), Curran (75')
rhs 2.0
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