Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
44.82% ( -0.16) | 24.03% ( 0.08) | 31.14% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.44% ( -0.32) | 42.56% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.03% ( -0.32) | 64.96% ( 0.32) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( -0.19) | 19.2% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.12% ( -0.32) | 50.88% ( 0.32) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( -0.1) | 26.21% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.68% ( -0.14) | 61.31% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 44.82% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |