Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
53.66% ( 0.17) | 23.56% ( -0.02) | 22.78% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.19% ( -0.08) | 46.8% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% ( -0.08) | 69.06% ( 0.07) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.63% ( 0.03) | 17.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.23% ( 0.05) | 47.77% ( -0.06) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% ( -0.19) | 34.8% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% ( -0.2) | 71.54% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |