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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Easter Road
Aberdeen logo

Hibernian
6 - 0
Aberdeen

Campbell (10', 15', 88'), Youan (45'), Nisbet (73'), Fish (90+1')
Campbell (64'), Nisbet (80')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Hayes (28'), Shinnie (44'), Scales (61'), Lopes (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hibernian 2-1 Aberdeen

Given Aberdeen's dismal record on the road this season, Hibernian will be confident of inflicting a sixth successive away league defeat on the Dons, piling more pressure on Goodwin and his players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawAberdeen
53.66% (0.16699999999999 0.17) 23.56% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 22.78% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.132 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)46.8% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)69.06% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.37% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.23% (0.055 0.05)47.77% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)34.8% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (-0.196 -0.2)71.54% (0.18900000000001 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 53.66%
    Aberdeen 22.78%
    Draw 23.55%
HibernianDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 22.78%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Aberdeen

Hibernian
81.8%
Draw
0.0%
Aberdeen
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 7.30pm
Aberdeen
4-1
Hibernian
Miovski (45+8' pen., 53'), Ramadani (61'), Clarkson (77')
Kukharevych (69')
Marshall (45+8')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Hibernian
3-1
Aberdeen
Boyle (45+1' pen.), Campbell (62', 73')
Lopes (4')
Stewart (27')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
3-1
Hibernian
Ferguson (37' pen., 64' pen.), Besuijen (80')
McCrorie (22'), Bates (28')
Ramsey (20' og.)
Newell (16'), Campbell (62'), Stevenson (66'), Henderson (89')
Porteous (63')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Hibernian
1-0
Aberdeen
Porteous (64')
Gogic (38'), Nisbet (76')

Hedges (88'), Ferguson (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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