Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen2 - 0Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Kilmarnock
With both sides having enjoyed different levels of revivals in recent matches, this could prove to be a competitive encounter. However, Aberdeen are the justified favourites, and we feel that they should do enough to edge a closely-fought contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
61.28% ( 0.03) | 21.99% ( 0) | 16.73% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.95% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
