Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Livingston |
48.7% ( 0.46) | 25.43% ( -0.07) | 25.87% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.23% ( 0.01) | 51.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.46% ( 0.01) | 73.54% ( -0.01) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( 0.2) | 21.27% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.8% ( 0.31) | 54.2% ( -0.32) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.18% ( -0.32) | 34.81% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.45% ( -0.33) | 71.54% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |