MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:57:21| >> :60:1327:1327:
HJK logo
Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Bolt Arena
Aberdeen logo

HJK Helsinki
2 - 2
Aberdeen

Bande (16'), Hostikka (33')
Keskinen (86'), Lingman (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
MacDonald (41'), Lopes (56')
Barron (42'), Devlin (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between HJK Helsinki and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 Rangers
Sunday, November 26 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Aberdeen

With a draw having already been played out in the reverse fixture, the indication is that this could be another hard-fought encounter. For us, though, Aberdeen will be full of belief after the PAOK fixture, leading us to predict a narrow triumph for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawAberdeen
44.33% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04) 24.08% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 31.58% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)42.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)65.01% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)19.42% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)51.25% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)25.96% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)60.97% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 44.33%
    Aberdeen 31.58%
    Draw 24.08%
HJK HelsinkiDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 44.33%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.8% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.58%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Aberdeen

HJK Helsinki
32.1%
Draw
21.4%
Aberdeen
46.4%
28
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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