MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 15:55:56| >> :120:44898:44898:
HJK logo
Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Bolt Arena
Aberdeen logo

HJK Helsinki
2 - 2
Aberdeen

Bande (16'), Hostikka (33')
Keskinen (86'), Lingman (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
MacDonald (41'), Lopes (56')
Barron (42'), Devlin (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between HJK Helsinki and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 Rangers
Sunday, November 26 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Aberdeen

With a draw having already been played out in the reverse fixture, the indication is that this could be another hard-fought encounter. For us, though, Aberdeen will be full of belief after the PAOK fixture, leading us to predict a narrow triumph for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawAberdeen
44.33% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04) 24.08% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 31.58% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)42.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)65.01% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)19.42% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)51.25% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)25.96% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)60.97% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 44.33%
    Aberdeen 31.58%
    Draw 24.08%
HJK HelsinkiDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 44.33%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.8% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.58%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Aberdeen

HJK Helsinki
32.1%
Draw
21.4%
Aberdeen
46.4%
28
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