MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 13:16:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Dundee logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Livingston logo

Dundee
1 - 0
Livingston

McCowan (57')
Shaughnessy (6'), McCowan (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lloyd (47'), Kelly (56'), Nottingham (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 0-5 Rangers
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 0-0 Livingston

Both sides are among the lowest scorers in the division, with neither yet in double figures, and another drab affair could be on the cards after both were well below par in midweek. The reverse fixture last weekend was looking certain to end 0-0 until Montano's late red card changed everything, leading to Shaughnessy's two late goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawLivingston
58.84% (0.411 0.41) 21.89% (0.226 0.23) 19.27% (-0.637 -0.64)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-1.864 -1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02% (-1.945 -1.95)43.97% (1.944 1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64% (-1.924 -1.92)66.36% (1.924 1.92)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39% (-0.515 -0.52)14.61% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.29% (-1.001 -1)42.71% (1 1)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-1.79 -1.79)36.66% (1.789 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-1.84 -1.84)73.45% (1.84 1.84)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 58.84%
    Livingston 19.27%
    Draw 21.88%
DundeeDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.67 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.473 0.47)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 6.35% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 58.84%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.27%

How you voted: Dundee vs Livingston

Dundee
47.1%
Draw
47.1%
Livingston
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Livingston
0-2
Dundee

Montano (70')
Shaughnessy (82', 85')
May 15, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Livingston
2-1
Dundee
Shinnie (78'), Forrest (84')
Montano (23')
Mulligan (59')
Mulligan (20'), Marshall (67')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Dundee
0-4
Livingston

Mullen (29'), Daley-Campbell (49')
Anderson (6', 21'), Pittman (18'), Fitzwater (65')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Livingston
2-0
Dundee
Anderson (46', 56')
Shinnie (29'), Pittman (43'), Holt (48')

Anderson (19'), Adam (49'), Mulligan (85')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Dundee
0-0
Livingston
Ashcroft (29')
Williamson (54'), Holt (67'), Bailey (76'), Forrest (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1211103543134
2Aberdeen12101125121331
3RangersRangers12723179823
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd135531914520
5Motherwell126151616019
6St Mirren145361923-418
7Dundee134362225-315
8Ross County143651222-1015
9St Johnstone144191727-1013
10Kilmarnock133371526-1112
11Hearts142391524-99
12Hibernian131571222-108


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