Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
45.21% ( 5.95) | 25.62% ( -0.95) | 29.18% ( -5) |
Both teams to score 53.19% ( 1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.52% ( 2.28) | 50.48% ( -2.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.59% ( 1.98) | 72.41% ( -1.98) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( 4) | 22.3% ( -4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% ( 5.66) | 55.76% ( -5.66) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.45% ( -2.25) | 31.55% ( 2.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.06% ( -2.68) | 67.94% ( 2.68) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 1.05) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.82) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.9) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.46) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.47) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.23% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.46) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -1.34) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.73) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -1.12) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.58) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |