Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
47.08% ( -0.01) | 24.05% ( 0) | 28.87% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.18% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.15% ( -0.01) | 43.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.76% ( -0.01) | 66.23% ( 0.01) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% ( -0.01) | 18.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.82% ( -0.01) | 50.18% ( 0.01) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% ( 0) | 28.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% ( 0) | 64.11% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |