Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23

Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
1 - 1
Motherwell

McGowan (3')
Smith (76'), Phillips (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bair (29')
Kelly (4'), Zdravkovski (45'), Halliday (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 3-1 Alloa
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Johnstone 1-1 Motherwell

There is little to split these two sides, who have suffered a slight downturn in results across the past 18 months. St Johnstone were spirited when claiming a draw against Aberdeen in midweek, while Motherwell have slightly improved of late. As such, with Ross County unlikely to gain anything away to Celtic in a simultaneous fixture, both sides may settle for moving one point clear of their relegation rivals by sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Motherwell
33.38% ( 0.06)	27.57% ( 0)	39.05% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 48.85% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.17% (

0.01)

56.83% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.24% (

0.01)

77.76% (

-0.01)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15% (

0.05)

31.85% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.71% (

0.06)

68.29% (

-0.06)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.67% (

-0.03)

28.33% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.94% (

-0.04)

64.06% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 33.38%

Motherwell 39.05%

Draw 27.57%

St Johnstone	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.38%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.02% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.05%