Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
33.38% ( 0.06) | 27.57% ( 0) | 39.05% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.17% ( 0.01) | 56.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.24% ( 0.01) | 77.76% ( -0.01) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.15% ( 0.05) | 31.85% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.71% ( 0.06) | 68.29% ( -0.06) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.67% ( -0.03) | 28.33% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.94% ( -0.04) | 64.06% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.02% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |