Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
46.89% ( 0.06) | 25.29% ( -0.04) | 27.82% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.1% ( 0.17) | 49.9% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.11% ( 0.16) | 71.89% ( -0.15) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( 0.1) | 21.3% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.76% ( 0.15) | 54.24% ( -0.15) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.74% ( 0.08) | 32.26% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.25% ( 0.09) | 68.75% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.88% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |