Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
26.71% ( -0.05) | 25.63% ( 0.1) | 47.65% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.4% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48% ( -0.44) | 52% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.26% ( -0.38) | 73.74% ( 0.38) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.75% ( -0.27) | 34.25% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.06% ( -0.29) | 70.94% ( 0.29) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.17% ( -0.21) | 21.83% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.95% ( -0.31) | 55.05% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.71% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |