Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 5.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 4-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
83.4% (![]() | 10.97% (![]() | 5.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.69% (![]() | 28.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.88% (![]() | 49.11% (![]() |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.1% (![]() | 4.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.35% (![]() | 19.65% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.17% (![]() | 49.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.46% (![]() | 84.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
3-0 @ 11.16% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.09% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.73% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.94% Total : 83.39% | 1-1 @ 5.12% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() Other @ 0.72% Total : 10.97% | 1-2 @ 1.78% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 5.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |