Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 5.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 4-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
83.4% ( 0.16) | 10.97% ( 0.03) | 5.63% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 47.71% ( -1.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.69% ( -1.23) | 28.3% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.88% ( -1.54) | 49.11% ( 1.53) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.1% ( -0.2) | 4.89% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.35% ( -0.6) | 19.65% ( 0.59) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.17% ( -1.65) | 49.83% ( 1.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.46% ( -1.18) | 84.54% ( 1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
3-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.51) 4-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.17) 6-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.16) 6-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.11) 7-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.94% Total : 83.39% | 1-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.72% Total : 10.97% | 1-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.14% Total : 5.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |