MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 09:32:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hearts logo

Kilmarnock
0 - 0
Hearts


Mayo (36'), Wright (44'), Donnelly (61'), Findlay (89')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hearts

The sides boast similar defensive records heading into this one, but Hearts just about have the upper hand offensively. Nonetheless, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHearts
45.43% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 25.56%29.02% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)50.33% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (0.004999999999999 0)72.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.13% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (0.012 0.01)31.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01% (0.012999999999998 0.01)67.99% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 45.42%
    Hearts 29.02%
    Draw 25.56%
KilmarnockDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.42%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.02%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Kilmarnock
31.3%
Draw
18.8%
Hearts
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
1-1
Kilmarnock
Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')
Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hearts

Dennis (40'), Watson (68')
Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
1-2
Hearts
Lyons (68')
Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')
Aug 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Hearts
0-0
Kilmarnock
Shankland (30'), Devlin (40'), Atkinson (55')
Armstrong (67'), Lyons (85'), McKenzie (90+3'), Donnelly (90+5')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
2-1
Hearts
Armstrong (22' pen.), Doidge (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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