Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.13%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
75.13% ( -0) | 15.03% ( 0) | 9.85% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.34% ( -0.02) | 32.67% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.66% ( -0.02) | 54.34% ( 0.02) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.7% ( -0) | 7.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.6% ( -0.01) | 26.41% ( 0.02) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.32% ( -0.01) | 42.68% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.98% ( -0) | 79.02% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.31% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.09% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 75.13% | 1-1 @ 6.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.03% | 1-2 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.13% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.01% Total : 9.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |