Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Rangers had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Rangers win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
65.74% ( -1.2) | 17.99% ( 0.7) | 16.26% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 62.13% ( -1.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.29% ( -2.54) | 30.7% ( 2.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.96% ( -3.09) | 52.03% ( 3.08) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.21% ( -0.93) | 8.78% ( 0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.85% ( -2.3) | 30.14% ( 2.29) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.11% ( -1.12) | 31.88% ( 1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.67% ( -1.29) | 68.32% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Rangers |
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.66) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.26) 5-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.26) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.19) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.48% Total : 65.74% | 1-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.99% | 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 16.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |