Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 18, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
We said: Hearts 2-2 Rangers
An entertaining end-to-end contest could on the cards between these two teams in what is now a dead-rubber fixture. You could argue that Rangers are still favourites to come out on top even without anything riding on this clash, but we believe that Hearts will give the Tynecastle faithful something to cheer and may find a way to claim at least a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 51.29% . A win for Hearts had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.38%) . The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%) . The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Hearts Draw Rangers 26.27% ( -1.93) 22.44% ( 0.07) 51.29% ( 1.87)
Both teams to score 61.68% ( -1.99)
61.72% ( -1.88) 38.28% ( 1.89)
39.44% ( -2.03) 60.56% ( 2.04)
72.67% ( -2.31) 27.33% ( 2.32)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.21% ( -3.1) 62.79% ( 3.11)
84.88% ( -0.04) 15.12% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 56.31% ( -0.08) 43.69% ( 0.09)
Hearts 26.27%
Rangers 51.29%
Draw 22.43%
Hearts Draw Rangers 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.27% 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.43% 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.67) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.62) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.01% Total : 51.29%
How you voted: Hearts vs Rangers
39
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-24 21:41:42
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