Dundee

4 - 1

Motherwell

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.