Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17

Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
3 - 1
Kilmarnock

Ginnelly (19'), Shankland (29', 89' pen.)
Snodgrass (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Taylor (73')
Donnelly (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 1-1 Livingston
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Hibernian
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hearts 2-1 Kilmarnock

In a match that has significant consequences in the Scottish Premiership, both sides will look to get on the front foot early on in search of an important result. On this occasion, Hearts will prevail and take a step in the right direction in their quest to qualify for European football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Kilmarnock
51.05% ( -0.02)	24.28% ( -0.1)	24.67% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 53.75% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.99% (

0.54)

48.01% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.82% (

0.5)

70.18% (

-0.49)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.19% (

0.2)

18.81% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.76% (

0.34)

50.24% (

-0.33)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.21% (

0.4)

33.79% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.54% (

0.43)

70.46% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Hearts 51.05%

Kilmarnock 24.67%

Draw 24.28%

Hearts	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.05%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.28%	0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.67%