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Celtic logo
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St Mirren logo
St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Hearts logo

St Mirren
1 - 1
Hearts

Strain (4')
Baccus (41'), O'Hara (56')
Fraser (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Snodgrass (49')
McKay (45+2'), Snodgrass (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 St Mirren
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-0 Hibernian
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-2 Hearts

In a match with permutations at the top end of the table, we expect both sides to battle hard and put on an entertaining spectacle in Paisley. On this occasion, Hearts will win the match by a narrow margin and strengthen their bid for continental qualification in the Scottish Premiership. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
34.03% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.42%38.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8%56.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75%77.25% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 34.03%
    Hearts 38.54%
    Draw 27.42%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.03%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.54%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts

St Mirren
27.3%
Draw
27.3%
Hearts
45.5%
22
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Hearts
4-2
St Mirren
Baningime (16'), Haring (29'), McEneff (67'), Simms (85')
Baningime (40')
Brophy (36'), Ronan (62')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-2
Hearts

Power (62'), Tait (67')
Ronan (22')
Simms (64'), Devlin (67')
Atkinson (27'), Devlin (62'), Haring (86'), Halkett (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Mackay-Steven (61'), Kingsley (75')
Devlin (68'), Halliday (89')

Shaughnessy (16'), Flynn (62'), Alnwick (90+6')
Shaughnessy (90+5')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (85')
Main (90+2')
Dennis (86')
Halliday (16'), Boyce (73')
Haring (28'), Baningime (36')
Mar 11, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1211103543134
2Aberdeen12101125121331
3RangersRangers12723179823
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd135531914520
5Motherwell126151616019
6St Mirren145361923-418
7Dundee134362225-315
8Ross County143651222-1015
9St Johnstone144191727-1013
10Kilmarnock133371526-1112
11Hearts142391524-99
12Hibernian131571222-108


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