Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
44.47% (![]() | 24.4% (![]() | 31.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.71% (![]() | 44.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.33% (![]() | 66.66% (![]() |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% (![]() | 20.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.73% (![]() | 52.27% (![]() |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% (![]() | 27.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% (![]() | 62.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
2-1 @ 9.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 7.45% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |