Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Hearts win it was 2-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
19.99% | 20.36% | 59.65% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 60.77% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.23% ( -0) | 35.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.15% | 57.85% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% ( -0) | 31.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% ( -0) | 67.48% |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.26% ( -0) | 11.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.1% ( -0) | 36.9% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 5.33% 1-0 @ 4.27% 2-0 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.65% Total : 19.99% | 1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 3.66% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.36% | 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 8.39% 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-3 @ 6.99% 0-3 @ 5.99% 2-3 @ 4.08% 1-4 @ 3.74% 0-4 @ 3.21% 2-4 @ 2.18% 1-5 @ 1.6% 0-5 @ 1.37% 2-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.54% Total : 59.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |