Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 6.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Hearts win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
82.1% ( 0.2) | 11.45% ( -0.11) | 6.45% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 51.33% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.21% ( 0.25) | 26.79% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.77% ( 0.32) | 47.23% ( -0.32) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.17% ( 0.08) | 4.83% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.54% ( 0.24) | 19.46% ( -0.24) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.93% ( -0.03) | 46.07% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.23% ( -0.03) | 81.77% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
3-0 @ 10.31% 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.46% Total : 82.09% | 1-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.93% Total : 11.45% | 1-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 6.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 21 | 21 |
2 | Aberdeen | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 21 |
3 | RangersRangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
4 | Motherwell | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
6 | St Mirren | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
7 | Ross County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
8 | Dundee | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
10 | Hibernian | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
11 | St Johnstone | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 4 |
12 | Hearts | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |