Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
49.96% ( -0.04) | 24.43% ( 0.01) | 25.61% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.22% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.16% ( -0.03) | 47.84% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.98% ( -0.03) | 70.03% ( 0.04) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.82% ( -0.03) | 19.18% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.15% ( -0.05) | 50.85% ( 0.05) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.09% ( 0.01) | 32.92% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% ( 0.01) | 69.49% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |