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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Celtic logo

Hearts
1 - 4
Celtic

Shankland (64')
Vargas (58'), Sibbick (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
O'Riley (4'), Maeda (23'), Furuhashi (51'), Iwata (81')
Iwata (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 0-2 Celtic

 Hearts have been resilient defensively so far this term, but they are far from their best going forward, while the league leaders should have enough to break them down at Tynecastle Park. Celtic have won each of the last seven Premiership meetings between these two sides, and we can only envisage another triumph for the Glasgow outfit on Sunday given the trajectory of their campaign thus far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawCeltic
22.93% (-0.344 -0.34) 22.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 55.01% (0.367 0.37)
Both teams to score 59.16% (-0.36 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.11% (-0.269 -0.27)39.89% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.75% (-0.28 -0.28)62.25% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (-0.443 -0.44)30.84% (0.437 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (-0.522 -0.52)67.11% (0.518 0.52)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)14.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.59% (0.051000000000002 0.05)42.41% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 22.93%
    Celtic 55.01%
    Draw 22.05%
HeartsDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 5.97% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.21% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 22.93%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 8.34% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 6.32% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.38% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.06% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.6% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 55.01%

How you voted: Hearts vs Celtic

Hearts
12.8%
Draw
2.6%
Celtic
84.6%
39
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 2.15pm
Gameweek 34
Hearts
0-2
Celtic
Furuhashi (67'), Oh (80')
> Match Report
Mar 11, 2023 12.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Hearts
0-3
Celtic
Mooy (2'), Furuhashi (45'), Carter-Vickers (80')
> Preview
Mar 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Celtic
3-1
Hearts
Maeda (25'), Furuhashi (60'), Haksabanovic (84')
Ginnelly (6')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hearts
3-4
Celtic
Shankland (45+3' pen., 47', 65' pen.)
Forrest (14'), Giakoumakis (55'), Maeda (59'), Taylor (76')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Celtic
2-0
Hearts
Furuhashi (13'), Giakoumakis (90+4')

Boyce (25'), Mackay-Steven (43'), Sibbick (55'), Cochrane (62'), Shankland (83')
Cochrane (89'), Sibbick (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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