Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 0-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 2-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
18.75% ( -0.02) | 19.94% ( -0) | 61.31% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.01% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.26% ( -0.02) | 35.74% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.19% ( -0.03) | 57.81% ( 0.02) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.65% ( -0.03) | 32.35% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.14% ( -0.04) | 68.86% ( 0.03) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.71% ( -0) | 11.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.09% ( -0) | 35.91% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.12% 2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 18.75% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.94% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.89% 0-4 @ 3.45% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.7% 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 61.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |