Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hearts3 - 2Dundee
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spartans 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, January 20 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup
Saturday, January 20 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
We said: Hearts 2-1 Dundee
Dundee have only lost six of their 18 league matches this season, and they are certainly capable of picking up a positive result in this game. Hearts are the favourites, though, and we are expecting Naismith's side to navigate their way to all three points in the Scottish Premiership encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Dundee |
47.84% ( 1.12) | 24.33% ( 0.07) | 27.83% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
