Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 12.15pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Spartans1 - 2Hearts
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Spartans and Hearts.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spartans 0-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Livingston 1-2 Hearts
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Spartans had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Spartans win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Hearts |
| 15.58% | 19.97% | 64.44% |
| Both teams to score 52.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.28% | 41.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% | 64.12% |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.36% | 39.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.68% | 76.32% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.77% | 12.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.08% | 37.92% |
| Score Analysis |
Spartans 15.58%
Hearts 64.44%
Draw 19.97%
| Spartans | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 4.48% 2-1 @ 4.36% 2-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.41% 3-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.58% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 4.85% 2-2 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.97% | 0-2 @ 10.7% 0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-4 @ 3.94% 1-4 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 3.21% 2-4 @ 1.69% 0-5 @ 1.66% 1-5 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.55% Total : 64.44% |
