Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
47.65% ( 0.48) | 24.38% ( -0.08) | 27.97% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 56.39% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.09% ( 0.09) | 45.91% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.78% ( 0.08) | 68.22% ( -0.08) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.64% ( 0.23) | 19.36% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.85% ( 0.38) | 51.15% ( -0.38) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( -0.25) | 30.07% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% ( -0.3) | 66.2% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 27.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |