Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
45.4% ( -0) | 25.88% ( 0.01) | 28.72% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.07% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.19% ( -0.02) | 51.81% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.42% ( -0.02) | 73.57% ( 0.02) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.23% ( -0.01) | 22.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.53% ( -0.02) | 56.47% ( 0.02) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% ( -0.01) | 32.58% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.88% ( -0.01) | 69.11% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |