Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
41.93% (![]() | 25.16% (![]() | 32.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.97% (![]() | 47.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.73% (![]() | 69.27% (![]() |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% (![]() | 22.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.14% (![]() | 55.86% (![]() |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.71% (![]() | 27.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.27% (![]() | 62.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 9.14% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.89% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 11.87% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.93% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |