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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Livingston logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Livingston

Wright (4', 45+2')
Taylor (51'), Stokes (60'), Wright (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Anderson (39'), Kelly (61' pen.), Stokes (75' og.)
Kelly (45'), Omeonga (90'), Nouble (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 0-3 Celtic
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Livingston

Despite being two of the lowest goalscorers in the division, Livingston have shown the greater all-round quality this season. That could prove decisive in a closely-fought contest, one which we feel the visitors will edge in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
56.76% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 24.26% (0.004999999999999 0) 18.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)54.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)75.47% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (-0.012 -0.01)18.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.6% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)50.4% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)42.84% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 56.75%
    Livingston 18.97%
    Draw 24.26%
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 9.53%
3-0 @ 6.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 56.75%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 4.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 18.97%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Livingston

Kilmarnock
42.2%
Draw
28.9%
Livingston
28.9%
45
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Jan 27, 2021 7.45pm
Livingston
2-0
Kilmarnock
Kabia (89'), Pittman (90')
Bartley (40'), Devlin (86')

Power (19'), Haunstrup (69'), McKenzie (84')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-2
Livingston
Burke (48' pen.)
Kabamba (8'), Burke (90+1')
Emmanuel-Thomas (51'), Robinson (90+3')
Devlin (47'), Serrano (57')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Livingston
1-3
Kilmarnock
Pittman (11')
Tiffoney (27'), Bartley (66'), Guthrie (84'), Ambrose (90')
Tshibola (24'), Burke (37' pen.), Kiltie (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic109102932628
2Aberdeen109102091128
3RangersRangers10613158719
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd114431513216
5Motherwell105141313016
6Dundee113351720-312
7St Mirren123361521-612
8Kilmarnock113351523-812
9Ross County122641018-812
10St Johnstone123181525-1010
11Hearts122371419-59
12Hibernian111551016-68


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