Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Hibernian |
51.56% ( 0.03) | 23.67% ( -0.01) | 24.77% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.87% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.73% ( 0.06) | 45.27% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.39% ( 0.05) | 67.61% ( -0.06) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.42% ( 0.03) | 17.58% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.86% ( 0.06) | 48.14% ( -0.06) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% ( 0.02) | 32.22% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% ( 0.02) | 68.71% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 51.56% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |