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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Hibs logo

Aberdeen
1 - 3
Hibernian

Keskinen (14')
Keskinen (86'), MacKenzie (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Youan (18'), Cadden (35'), Boyle (49')
Newell (33'), Boyle (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 3-1 Ross County
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 1-2 Hibernian

Aberdeen are enduring a difficult period as they head into this one without a win in their last five, while Hibernian are boosted by two wins from their last three, leading us to believe the visitors will snatch a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawHibernian
51.56% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 23.67% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 24.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.87% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.73% (0.056999999999995 0.06)45.27% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.39% (0.055 0.05)67.61% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (0.033000000000001 0.03)17.58% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.86% (0.061 0.06)48.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.22% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 51.56%
    Hibernian 24.77%
    Draw 23.67%
AberdeenDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.56%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.77%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Hibernian

Aberdeen
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Hibernian
25.0%
24
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Hibernian
3-3
Aberdeen
Newell (40'), Cadden (90+2'), Bushiri (90+7')
Kukharevych (44'), Miller (45+2'), Gray (45'), Iredale (71')
McGrath (55'), Devlin (76'), Sokler (90+5')
Devlin (71')
May 12, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Hibernian
0-4
Aberdeen

Newell (13'), Le Fondre (74')
Clarkson (30'), Polvara (39'), Miovski (52'), Boyd (90+2')
Shinnie (83')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Aberdeen
2-2
Hibernian
Devlin (15'), McGrath (51')
Shinnie (59')
Boyle (12'), Marcondes (67')
Marcondes (72'), Fish (78'), Obita (90+9')
Dec 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Hibernian
2-0
Aberdeen
Vente (18'), Fish (70')
Fish (41'), Boyle (56'), Newell (57')

Jensen (66'), Rubezic (90+3')
Nov 4, 2023 5.15pm
Semi-Finals
Hibernian
0-1
Aberdeen

Tavares (28'), Obita (71')
Miovski (78')
Jensen (34'), MacKenzie (61'), Miovski (84'), Shinnie (88')
MacKenzie (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Ross County183691435-2115
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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