Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
May 15, 2022 at 12pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
We said: Livingston 2-0 Dundee
Despite the visitors impressing in their victory over Hibernian in midweek, we can see the hosts strolling to a comfortable victory on Sunday.
Livingston are a tough side to play against at the Tony Macaroni Arena, and come into the final game on a strong run of form, so they should come out on top against bottom-of-the-table Dundee to finish the season on an impressive unbeaten run.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.05% . A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 27.61% .
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.38%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%) , while for a Dundee win it was 0-1 (10.18%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result Livingston Draw Dundee 44.05% ( -0.04) 28.34% ( 0.23) 27.61% ( -0.19)
Both teams to score 44.38% ( -0.71)
38.66% ( -0.84) 61.33% ( 0.84)
18.76% ( -0.63) 81.24% ( 0.63)
72.27% ( -0.42) 27.73% ( 0.42)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.7% ( -0.54) 63.3% ( 0.54)
61.41% ( -0.62) 38.58% ( 0.63)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.67% ( -0.6) 75.33% ( 0.6)
Livingston 44.04%
Dundee 27.6%
Draw 28.33%
Livingston Draw Dundee 1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.73% Total : 44.04% 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.33% 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.6%
How you voted: Livingston vs Dundee
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rhs 2.0
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