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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Aberdeen logo

Motherwell
0 - 1
Aberdeen


Kettlewell (2'), O'Donnell (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarkson (25')
Hoilett (1'), Roos (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-0 Aberdeen
Wednesday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen

Aberdeen might be trying their hardest to try and turn the season around and avoid relegation, but this fixture is likely not going to be the one where points start coming. Motherwell should have too much power and quality for the Dons to handle, particularly with the lack of confidence the away side boasts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
44.02% (0.189 0.19) 24.25% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 31.73% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 59.13% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)43.32% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)65.72% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (0.083000000000013 0.08)19.85% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.129 0.13)51.94% (-0.122 -0.12)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (-0.104 -0.1)26.22% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (-0.142 -0.14)61.33% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 44.02%
    Aberdeen 31.73%
    Draw 24.24%
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.73%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Aberdeen

Motherwell
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
Aberdeen
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Aberdeen
3-3
Motherwell
Lopes (31', 50'), Gartenmann (37')
MacDonald (83'), Shinnie (90')
Bair (5' pen., 22'), Devine (26')
Nicholson (61'), McGinn (87'), Butcher (90+4'), Kelly (90+5')
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Motherwell
2-4
Aberdeen
Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')
McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Aberdeen
3-1
Motherwell
Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')
Van Veen (75' pen.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Motherwell
1-2
Aberdeen
McKinstry (55')
Miovski (4'), Lopes (68')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aberdeen
2-3
Motherwell
Miovski (42'), Hayes (47')
MacKenzie (90+6')
Spittal (20'), Slattery (52'), Van Veen (55')
Slattery (35'), Morris (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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