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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Motherwell logo

Livingston
1 - 3
Motherwell

Yengi (3')
Yengi (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nicholson (49'), Spittal (71'), Vale (87')
Casey (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 3-2 Livingston
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-3 Celtic
Sunday, February 25 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Livingston 1-2 Motherwell

The nature of Livingston's defeat at Ross County on the weekend could have taken the wind out of the Lions' sails ahead of Wednesday's clash with Motherwell. Having just faced off against Celtic, the Steelmen should be primed and ready to return to winning ways against a side who seem destined for the drop. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawMotherwell
40.79% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 27.02%32.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.03% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)54.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.25% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32%61.68% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)31.71% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 40.78%
    Motherwell 32.19%
    Draw 27.01%
LivingstonDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 40.78%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 9.65%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 32.19%

How you voted: Livingston vs Motherwell

Livingston
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Motherwell
50.0%
32
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Motherwell
3-1
Livingston
Spittal (14'), Bair (19', 35')
Biereth (45'), Spencer (59'), Mugabi (71'), Slattery (84')
Pittman (23')
Devlin (39'), Holt (43'), Anderson (86')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Livingston
2-0
Motherwell
Anderson (53'), Kelly (62' pen.)
Holt (90+3')

Spencer (69'), Wilkinson (90+4'), Casey (90+4')
Miller (45+1')
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Livingston
1-1
Motherwell
Shinnie (83')
Montano (69'), Devlin (89')
George (43')
Van Veen (3')
Goss (57')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Motherwell
3-0
Livingston
Van Veen (9', 33'), Johnston (34')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Ross County183691435-2115
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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