Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
40.79% ( -0.01) | 27.02% | 32.19% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.2% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.03% ( 0.01) | 54.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.75% ( 0.01) | 76.25% ( -0.01) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% | 26.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.32% | 61.68% ( 0) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.29% ( 0.01) | 31.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.87% ( 0.01) | 68.13% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.84% Total : 32.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |