Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
44.29% ( 0.2) | 26.86% ( 0.01) | 28.85% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 49.21% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.45% ( -0.11) | 55.55% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.28% ( -0.09) | 76.72% ( 0.09) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.06% ( 0.05) | 24.94% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.43% ( 0.07) | 59.57% ( -0.07) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.56% ( -0.22) | 34.44% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.85% ( -0.23) | 71.15% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |