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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park
Dundee logo

Motherwell
2 - 1
Dundee

Casey (12', 84')
Halliday (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Murray (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 Motherwell
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 3-1 Dundee
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 2-1 Dundee

Hoping to feel a boost in their first home game under new management, we back Motherwell to come out on top in Wednesday's six-pointer at Fir Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Motherwell in this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawDundee
49.69% (-0.387 -0.39) 23.93% (0.164 0.16) 26.38% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 56.58% (-0.334 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.94% (-0.541 -0.54)45.06% (0.544 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (-0.521 -0.52)67.41% (0.523 0.52)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (-0.355 -0.36)18.21% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (-0.611 -0.61)49.23% (0.613 0.61)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (-0.108 -0.11)30.82% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9% (-0.128 -0.13)67.1% (0.13000000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 49.69%
    Dundee 26.38%
    Draw 23.93%
MotherwellDrawDundee
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 49.69%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.13 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.38%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Dundee

Motherwell
69.6%
Draw
4.3%
Dundee
26.1%
23
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Dundee
4-1
Motherwell
Adewumi (14'), Tiffoney (60'), Cameron (63', 67')
Koumetio (29'), McGhee (79')
Stamatelopoulos (19')
Seddon (61'), Kettlewell (65'), Miller (78')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Motherwell
0-1
Dundee
Cameron (38')
Astley (71'), Portales (78')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Dundee
2-3
Motherwell
McGhee (36'), McCowan (70')
Bakayoko (74'), Mellon (82')
Gent (79'), Bair (81'), Ebiye (90+3')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Motherwell
3-3
Dundee
Biereth (6'), Mugabi (68'), Wilkinson (90+7')
Butcher (44'), Casey (49'), Wilkinson (90+5')
Paton (72')
Cameron (30'), Beck (34'), Robinson (88')
Boateng (80'), McCowan (90+7')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Dundee
1-1
Motherwell
Cameron (68')
Bair (45')
Souare (72'), McGinley (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic29243287177075
2RangersRangers29185659263359
3Hibernian29111084440443
4Aberdeen29126113846-842
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd29118103636041
6Motherwell29114143448-1437
7Hearts29106134140136
8Ross County2998123149-1835
9St Mirren29104153547-1234
10Kilmarnock2987143347-1431
11Dundee2977154161-2028
12St Johnstone2974183254-2225


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