Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Johnstone in this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
48.7% ( 0.19) | 24.38% ( 0.04) | 26.93% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 55.58% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.39% ( -0.33) | 46.61% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.12% ( -0.32) | 68.88% ( 0.32) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% ( -0.05) | 19.21% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.11% ( -0.09) | 50.9% ( 0.09) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.79% ( -0.35) | 31.21% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.45% ( -0.41) | 67.56% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |